Bass, F. M. (1963)
Abstract: The problem of measuring the impact of advertising dollars on market share is a complex one. This paper describes the four basic types of market share behavior over time. An "Imitation" model is developed to explain serial correlation in the number of new customers buying a brand in each time period. The analysis casts doubt on the feasibility of measuring the impact of advertising expenditures on sales through analyzing aggregative data.
Describes an imitation model to explain when two types of distinct market segments (innovators and imitators) are likely to make a first purchase of a product. This later evolves into Bass' Diffusion model for innovation.
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